Friday, September 16, 2011

Why are there so many contrails today?

Driving in to work this morning, I noticed there were an awful lot of contrails in the sky. Why, I wondered, were there so many today?

[Holy contrails, Batman!]

Is it because it's a cold day today? Perhaps because we just had a front come through? To find out, I gave my old meteorology professor from Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University a call.

My guess is that you have a lot of moisture in the air there right now, Dr. Randell Barry said. Really? That's it? It's all because of water vapor? I'll explain it to you how he explained it to me. From the beginning...

Contrails (or "Cirrus aviaticus" if you're feeling snooty) are the long, skinny clouds that form behind airplanes. As with any other cloud, they need condensation and a little dust to form. Luckily for them, passing airplanes provide both. All the air has to do is be full of moisture.

Air can only hold so much water vapor - water in its gaseous form - before the water condenses, turning into a liquid. As air cools, the amount of water vapor it can hold decreases. Once air cools to a certain point - called the dew point - the air is saturated: It is full of water. That's when condensation happens. Clouds form in saturated air when water vapor attaches to fine particles like dust, salt or ice (formally known as "condensation nuclei") and condenses.

As long as the air temperature is close to the dew point, we know the air is full of water vapor and close to being saturated. At airplane cruising altitude, this air is ripe for contrail formation. The plane does the rest of the work.

Airplane exhaust contains both water vapor and some fine particles, Dr. Barry explained. When added to the surrounding moist air, the water vapor is enough to saturate the air, allowing the water vapor to condense on the small particles. And voila: Just like that, a cloud is born!

To prove his point, we pulled up an image of the United States taken by a weather satellite. On a water vapor image, bright white areas indicate moist air while dark gray areas indicate dry air. Sure enough, sitting over the eastern half of the U.S. was a huge area of moist air.

[This water vapor image, taken by a GOES weather satellite, shows an area of moist air covering the eastern half of the United States.]

To get 3D perspective, we then consulted a sounding - a chart that shows the data taken by a weather balloon. In the sounding below taken from the Dulles Airport area in Virginia, the temperature is represented by a black line while the dew point is shown as an orange line.

Right around 26,000 feet, the two lines approach one another, telling us that the air temperature and the dew point temperature there were close. The air at that height was full of water vapor. The two lines stay near one another all the way to the top of the sounding, so we can expect that airplanes flying at just about any cruising altitude in the Dulles area would find perfect conditions for contrail-making.

[This sounding taken from the University of Wyoming website shows the temperatures and dew points recorded by a weather balloon as it rose above Dulles Airport.]

That's all there is to it, then. As long as the air and dew point temperatures are close in the region where airplanes fly, contrails are likely. If the air is moist enough, the contrails may linger for a while. Otherwise, they may vanish almost as soon as they came. This morning, though, they lingered.


  1. It's because the jets are releasing particals of aluminum and barium into the atmosphere. The records are there for the reading in the archives of congress. Plus there is no fewer than 80 law-suits going on right now to try and stop spraying. I thought this was common knowledge.

  2. in the eighties when i was a kid we never saw contrails ... airliners could afford to waste the fuel. remember this, contrails are made by applying flaps thus condensing the air ,causing a vapor cloud in the vacuum zone. what we are seeing in our skys are not harmless contrails.

    1. Aircraft do not and never have used flaps at cruse altitudes. Flaps are used to slow the aircraft for landing and crate more lift for take off.

    2. You never looked up. I was a kid in the 60s and 70s and remember seeing persistent contrails. One can find pictures of persistent contrails going back some 70 years.

    3. Exactly, you could take the pictures of a bomber raids in WOII as an example. They left the sky filled with contrails after they passed by.

    4. The sky used to be clear, I have hundreds of photos taken across the USA since the 1950's. I moved to the S.W. 23 years ago & the "persistent contrails" (chemtrails) only became an every day occurrence about 10-12 years ago. I live in Az. and we hardly ever have clear, blue skies anymore. Wake up.

  3. with the power of the internet it should be quite easy to verify the hypothesis that there may be added particulate to air plane exhaust given the above explanation. People looking at trails in a certain area would be able to look up the GEOS data to see if they were in fact in a dry or wet zone for a given period and then relate the dissipation of contrails as fast or slow over a given period. Not an exacting qualitative study, but more of a qualitative does this make sense thing.

  4. I have to agree with other anonomous posters that while I appreciate that WDBJ7 attempted to explain contrails, I don't think these are contrails at all. These tasted and smelled like hairspray mixed with bugspray yesterday, and they were OUT of normal flight patterns. WDBJ7, PLEASE INVESTIGATE WHY THERE WERE SO MANY PLANES OUT TO LEAVES THESE YESTERDAY PLEASE. Maybe they are 'just' vapor trails...however, my question is WHY WERE THERE SO MANY PLANES ON A WEDNESDAY MORNING to begin with...what were they doing out of their flight patterns.....and why the bad taste and smell associated with them please? Please do investigate this.

  5. I'm a diff anonymous guy, but i've looked into this as a layperson. contrails form occasionally behind planes under certain atmospheric conditions, but those dissipate relatively quickly. they do not spread out and form clouds as in the above pics. the aluminum barium thing, from what i've looked into, is a bit hysterical and based on a questionable lab analysis of a ground sample allegedly taken after 'spray filaments' fell to the ground after a spraying, but i still have to research that more. my memory of the report is that levels weren't any higher than normal levels... b

  6. 1. Barium and the other substances said to be present in "chemtrails" are pretty darned expensive to be spraying around willy-nilly.
    2. Thousands of people work in aircraft construction and maintenance. Hundreds of old planes sit in aircraft 'graveyards' across the US. And yet, nobody has ever found any physical apparatus on any plane (except crop dusters) suitable for emitting sprays.